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Tuesday, August 19th:

Slip Sliding - Monday’s are bad enough, so we don’t need a one and a half percent drop on the major indexes to pile on but that is exactly what happened yesterday. The financials got the finger pointed their way for the drop in Monday’s action, but that is not news to anyone. Now is a time to look at stocks and find out who is fighting off the down days with some success and still enjoying the up days. If you can find stocks like this, you might be looking at tomorrow’s leaders. You should always be looking for edges even in markets like this. Warren always says to buy when everyone is panicking and sell when everyone is buying.

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Monday, August 18th:

Which Way is Up? - Could someone please give us directions out of this quagmire? The map that has been put in front of us is not easy to read. We have commodities sinking like a stone, so inflation pressures are easing. Unfortunately, the only stocks that have done well in 2008 are closely related to commodities. We have a dollar that is finally starting to shake the funk it has been in for years. This is probably due to the fact that Europe is starting to slow down, and the rest of the world for that matter. Our goods were cheap because of other counties inflated currencies. Our economy could be losing that benefactor as the dollar continues its climb. I do not mean to paint a gloom and doom picture for you but the point is to remain cautious in these times of uncertainty. I just think we will remain in a tight trading range for at least 6 months while everyone tries to figure out the next move. So I guess the, “buy the dips and sell the rips” is the way to play it.

Friday, August 15th:

The Good, The OK and The Shaky - It does not have the same punch as The Good, The Bad and The Ugly, but it is a better description of how the NASDAQ, SP500 and DOW’s daily charts look. By the way, The Good, The Bad and The Ugly quite possibly could be the greatest movie ever made. Anyway, the NASDAQ chart looks great as it has broken through the 200-day Moving Average and most of the oscillators are looking good. The SP500 is still hanging around the 50-day moving average and oscillators look pretty good. The DOW however really looks like it is starting to struggle. The Stochastic chart is showing some divergence, while the index has been moving up over the last month. The volume has been light as well, so just keep your eyes peeled on this one.

If you want to see some charts about what I am seeing, you can sign up for free and check them out. After signing up, they are located under the Research tab and you click on ‘Charts of Indexes’.

Thursday, August 14th:

Line in the Sand II - The DOW fell below its 50-day moving average (MA) by a good margin yesterday, so it appears the bears won that battle. The SP500 stayed close to its 50-day MA and we will give the bears and bulls another day to fight it out. The same goes for the NASDAQ only it is flirting with the 200-day MA, so we give them round two of drawing lines in the sand. I now I will be in the bulls corner today, so lets hope they come out swinging.

Wednesday, August 13th:

Line in the Sand - Well the DOW and SP500 both basically fell back to the 50-day moving average after yesterday’s selloff. The financials got sick and gave everyone else a cold. We had a pretty good run the last week and a half, so perhaps we were due for a down day in these kind of market conditions. The NASDAQ didn’t fare much better and fell back to the 200-day moving average. All 3 major indexes are sitting on those moving average lines, so it looks like the line in the sand has been drawn. Today’s action will determine if the bulls or bears walk over it.

Tuesday, August 12th:

Another Positive Day - We had another positive day for the market yesterday in what is becoming a pleasant little rally. The DOW and SP500 both have moved slightly above the 50-day moving average and seem to have some positive looking technicals in their favor. I would love to see them continue the move up and test the 200-day moving average. The NASDAQ already skyrocketed through the 50 and just broke above the 200-day moving average yesterday. This is where we struggled back in May and early June. In both cases, it slightly broke through the 200-day line and slid back. If we can hold the line and break above it, we could be off to the races, at least in the short term.

Monday, August 11th:

Great Week Behind, New Week Ahead - Last week ended on a sweet note with the DOW rocketing just over 300 points, oils slide helping the cause. We will continue to see stocks go up in the short-term if oil prices continue to drop. The strength of the dollar is also a big factor in the recent gains. The dollar hopefully has bottomed and will continue to rise. The European Central Bank appears to be done raising rates for a while, so this should stop the bleeding on one front at least.

The Olympics started last Friday and what an opening ceremonies the Chinese put on. It was quite an impressive show. Padraig Harrington won his second major in a row and poor Sergio gagged another chance to win a major.

Friday, August 8th:

AIG Sinks DOW - Well the markets could not fight off the bad news from AIG and sank almost 2 percent yesterday. This kind of move is a non-event these days. It has been a roller coaster ride for some time now and I do not see anything in the near future that will stop this. This is great news as long as you are on the right side of the trade on the ups and downs. You have heard, “buy the dips, sell the rips” and it would be a great way to make money this year. We will see if we can finish off the week on a positive note today.

Thursday, August 7th:

AIG Hits the Fan - AIG reported after the bell yesterday that they are sinking like the Titanic. If you have not grabbed your life jacket yet, you better hurry because this baby is going down. They posted a 5.4 billion dollar loss and that was miss by a long shot. Freddie was in the dumps as well, but I would say that is about what everyone expected. If stocks can hold up today, it could be a good sign in the short term at least.

We are getting close to wrapping up the earnings season, so the volatility should start to come down, right. I would guess that oil, banks folding up, housing numbers and unemployment figures should keep the traders plenty busy through the remainder of the summer.

Wednesday, August 6th:

Now that is a Rally - I knew the 2 days of stale trading would come to an end and boy did it ever yesterday. The major indexes were up between 2 ½ and 3 percent for the day. The reason for the rally is oil is falling like a stone and traders liked what they heard from the FED. About the only thing that did not work today is the anything related to commodities. High fliers like Potash, Agrium and Mosaic are getting pounded along with oil and coal stocks. It looks like a changing of the guard will be taking place, but which industry is next on the rebound is the question. Could it be Biotech, Healthcare or Technology stocks? I will be monitoring this closely to see if I can find the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.

Tuesday, August 5th:

Boring, Boring, Boring - Yesterday ended without the DOW moving over 100 points for the second trading day in a row. This is madness and I expect big things today to make up for lost time. The FED is speaking so hopefully they can stir up some trouble one way or another. We had anything related to commodities get hammered yesterday, but the markets really did not move that much. The industries that have been working all year are starting to lose ground and lose it rapidly. What will be the next big industry to get hot?

Monday, August 4th:

New Week Begins - A new week begins and we will see if the indexes will continue to zigzag their way through earnings, oil and data releases. It would hard to top last weeks action of up 200 one day and down 200 the next. This kind of action hopefully gives everyone a new incentive to watch his or her holdings a little closer. It does not take that much time to help save yourself a percentage point or two that in the end can make a huge difference in your pile of cash.

I have come to the realization that electricity is important, not that I doubted its usefulness in the first place. It just when you go 15 plus hours without power and have a 2 and 1 year old in the house, it makes life a little difficult. I will need to make a run to Home Depot to make my life easier for the next time I go powerless. Oh and that Man Ram guy is GOOD, go Dodgers!!!

Friday, August 1st:

Bulls 2 - Bears 2 - Well we have a tie ballgame going into the ninth inning and we will find out shortly who the winner is going to be. The bulls have had 2 great days and the bears have had 2 great days. Will it be the same old players that step in and make the difference or will a new player arrive to tilt the game in their favor? You can never tell in a market like this but it certainly is exciting to watch. It would be much more profitable if you knew which items were going to drive the market a day in advance but that would not be any fun now would it. In a few hours we will know who the winner is.

Manny being Manny has finally run its course in Boston. The Dodgers are now blessed with his presents and it will be fun to watch the chemistry between him and Jeff Kent develop.

Thursday, July 31st:

Bulls 2 - We had two days in a row of the bulls running the show and that has not happened much this year. We will probably bounce all over the place until the earnings season starts to come to a close. We even had oil move higher yesterday but that didn’t seem to be the formula that drove the market. Today, depending on which way the wind is blowing, could be a day that oil matters.

The second quarter GDP will be released this morning and ExxonMobil, Altria, Motorola, Revlon and one of my favorites Green Mountain Coffee report earnings today. We also have Henry Paulson talking about the markets and economy in the afternoon. We will see which items will put the bulls and bears in good and bad moods.

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* Past performance doesn’t guarantee future return